Predicting Refugee Movements? There’s an App for That – A New Approach to Humanitarian Aid













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Displaced women in Mali preparing food. The coronavirus will worsen the suffering already being experienced by many people.



Displaced women in Mali preparing food. The coronavirus will worsen the suffering already being experienced by many people.


Foto: MICHELE CATTANI/ AFP





Sometimes, the price of goats can provide a clue to an unfolding wave of migration.



Sometimes, the price of goats can provide a clue to an unfolding wave of migration.


Foto: ZOHRA BENSEMRA/ REUTERS





Sudden events, such as the displacement of the Rohingya minority in Myanmar, are difficult for the algorithm to forecast.



Sudden events, such as the displacement of the Rohingya minority in Myanmar, are difficult for the algorithm to forecast.


Foto: MUNIR UZ ZAMAN/ AFP





The software reveals connections between numerous different variables.



The software reveals connections between numerous different variables.


Foto: Danish Refugee Council

“Forecasting is not an exact science and should not be the only factor in decision making.”

Charlotte Slente, general secretary of the Danish Refugee Council

This piece is part of the Global Societies series. The project runs for three years and is funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.





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